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Center Hill, Florida: Violent Crime Trends Remain Low Despite Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Center Hill, located in Florida, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2020, the city experienced fluctuations in both its violent crime rates and population. The total number of violent crimes ranged from a low of 0 in 2011 and 2017 to a high of 9 in 2012. Over this period, the population grew from 2,150 in 2010 to 2,334 in 2022, representing an 8.56% increase.
An analysis of murder rates in the city reveals a consistent pattern of zero reported cases throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2020. This statistic remains unchanged despite population fluctuations, indicating a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents and consistently representing 0% of the state's murder cases. This stability in the absence of murders speaks positively to the city's safety record in this most serious category of violent crime.
Rape incidents in the city showed some variation over time. There were reported cases in 2010 (1 case, 0.04% of state total), 2012 (2 cases, 0.07% of state total), 2016 (1 case, 0.03% of state total), and 2020 (1 case, 0.03% of state total). The rape rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, with the highest rate in 2012 at approximately 1.10 per 1,000 residents, decreasing to about 0.43 per 1,000 in 2020. This suggests an overall downward trend in rape cases relative to the population growth.
Robbery trends in the city remained minimal throughout the observed period. Only one robbery was reported in 2012, representing 0.01% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.55 robberies per 1,000 residents in 2012. For all other years in the dataset, no robberies were reported, indicating a generally low incidence of this crime type in the city.
Aggravated assault cases showed the most variation among violent crimes in the city. The number of reported cases ranged from 0 in 2011 and 2017 to a high of 6 in 2012. The rate per 1,000 residents peaked in 2012 at approximately 3.31 and was at its lowest in years with no reported cases. The percentage of state totals for aggravated assault ranged from 0% in years with no cases to 0.02% in 2012. The most recent data from 2020 shows 3 cases, representing about 1.30 assaults per 1,000 residents and 0.01% of the state total.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. For instance, in 2012 when the population density was 296 per square mile, the city experienced its highest number of violent crimes (9). Conversely, in 2017 and 2019, when population densities were higher (285 and 406 per square mile respectively), violent crime numbers were lower (0 and 1 respectively).
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continuation of the overall low crime rates with possible minor fluctuations. Based on the historical data, we might expect: - Murder rates to remain at or near zero - Rape incidents to potentially occur at a rate of 0-1 per year - Robbery cases to remain rare, with 0-1 incidents per year - Aggravated assaults to range between 1-3 cases annually
In summary, Center Hill demonstrates a generally low and stable violent crime profile. The most significant trend is the variability in aggravated assault cases, which still remain relatively low compared to larger urban areas. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates despite population growth is noteworthy and suggests effective law enforcement strategies or strong community cohesion.
