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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Carrick, a neighborhood in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, has witnessed notable changes in its housing landscape over the past decade. This analysis examines the trends in homeownership rates, average home prices, and rental market dynamics from 2013 to 2024, highlighting the interplay between these factors and federal interest rates.
The homeownership rate in Carrick has experienced a slight decline, dropping from 59% in 2013 to 57% in 2022. Conversely, average home prices in the neighborhood have seen remarkable growth, rising from $56,314 in 2013 to $136,031 in 2022, representing a 141% increase over nine years. This inverse relationship between homeownership rates and average home prices suggests that rising property values may have made homeownership less accessible for some residents.
Federal interest rates have played a significant role in shaping homeownership trends in Carrick. From 2013 to 2016, interest rates remained consistently low, ranging from 0.11% to 0.40%, during which homeownership rates in Carrick fluctuated between 57% and 60%. As interest rates began to rise more significantly from 2017 to 2019 (1% to 2.16%), homeownership rates in Carrick stabilized at 57-58%. The sudden drop in interest rates in 2020 and 2021 (0.38% and 0.08% respectively) did not lead to an immediate increase in homeownership, likely due to other economic factors at play.
The rental market in Carrick has also experienced changes, with the percentage of renters increasing from 40% in 2013 to 43% in 2022. Average rent prices have risen from $784 in 2013 to $868 in 2022, an increase of about 10.7%. This growth in rental prices, while significant, has been less dramatic than the increase in home prices. The population of Carrick has remained relatively stable during this period, with 15,570 residents in 2013 and 16,241 in 2022, suggesting that the increased demand for rentals may be driven by factors such as affordability concerns or changing housing preferences rather than population growth.
In 2023, the average home price in Carrick experienced a slight decrease to $131,838, down from $136,031 in 2022. However, by 2024, prices rebounded to $135,573, nearly recovering to the 2022 level. It's worth noting that federal interest rates increased significantly during this period, reaching 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024, which may have influenced housing market dynamics.
Based on historical trends and current market conditions, projections suggest that average home prices in Carrick may continue to rise moderately over the next five years, potentially reaching around $150,000 by 2029. Average rent prices are also expected to increase, albeit at a slower pace, potentially approaching $950-$1,000 per month in the same timeframe.
In conclusion, Carrick has experienced a gradual shift towards more renter-occupied housing, coupled with substantial increases in average home prices and moderate growth in average rent. The interplay between federal interest rates, housing affordability, and local economic factors has shaped these trends. As the neighborhood continues to evolve, balancing housing affordability with property value appreciation will likely remain a key challenge for the community.