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Camdenton's Unique Violent Crime Trends: A Decade of Stability Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Camdenton, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable decrease of 5.26% from 19 incidents in 2010 to 20 in 2022. During this same period, the city's population grew by 11.85%, from 5,107 to 5,712 residents.
The murder rate in this city has remained remarkably low throughout the observed period. Only one murder was recorded in 2014, representing 0.3% of the state's total that year. This translates to a rate of 0.18 murders per 1,000 people in 2014. In all other years, there were zero murders reported. This consistent low murder rate, despite population growth, suggests a generally safe environment in terms of lethal violence.
Rape incidents have shown some variability over the years. The city saw no reported rapes in 2010, 2014, 2016, and 2019. However, there were spikes in 2018 and 2021-2022, with 5 and 4 cases respectively. These peaks represented 0.25% and 0.19% of the state's total rapes. The rate per 1,000 people reached its highest in 2018 at 0.90, dropping to 0.70 by 2022. This fluctuation indicates a need for continued vigilance and support for sexual assault prevention programs.
Robbery has been an infrequent occurrence in the city. From 2010 to 2017, no robberies were reported. The first recorded robbery was in 2016, followed by 2 cases in 2019 and 1 in 2020. These incidents represented 0.02%, 0.05%, and 0.03% of the state's total robberies respectively. The highest rate was 0.37 robberies per 1,000 people in 2019. The low frequency of robberies suggests that property-related violent crime is not a significant issue in the area.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. It peaked in 2011 with 24 incidents (0.17% of state total) and reached its lowest point in 2018 with 5 cases (0.03% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people has generally decreased over time, from 3.72 in 2010 to 2.80 in 2022. This downward trend in aggravated assault rates, despite population growth, indicates improving public safety in this regard.
There appears to be a moderate correlation between violent crime trends and population density. As the population density increased from 929 per square mile in 2010 to 1,040 in 2022, violent crime rates showed some fluctuation but generally trended downward. This suggests that the city has managed to maintain or improve safety despite becoming more densely populated.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, we anticipate a slight increase in overall violent crime incidents over the next five years, reaching approximately 22-24 incidents by 2029. This projection takes into account the historical fluctuations and the ongoing population growth.
In summary, Camdenton has demonstrated a relatively stable violent crime landscape over the past decade, with some notable improvements. The consistent absence of murders, low robbery rates, and declining aggravated assault trends paint a picture of a community that has maintained safety despite population growth. However, the fluctuations in rape incidents highlight an area that may require targeted interventions. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these positive trends while addressing areas of concern will be crucial for ensuring the ongoing safety and well-being of its residents.
