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Bucklin, Kansas: A Decade of Zero Violent Crime Amidst Population Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Bucklin, a small city in Kansas, presents a remarkable case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2020, the city consistently reported zero violent crimes across all categories, including murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. This unusual pattern of zero reported violent crime persisted despite significant demographic changes, with the city's population decreasing from 1,215 in 2010 to 865 in 2022, a 28.8% reduction over 12 years.
The consistent report of zero violent crimes across all categories from 2010 to 2020 is a notable feature of Bucklin's crime statistics. This trend persists regardless of the population changes, indicating that the city has maintained a very low crime environment throughout the decade. The absence of reported murders, rapes, robberies, and aggravated assaults suggests a high level of community safety and effective law enforcement strategies.
When examining the relationship between these crime rates and population trends, we find that the crime rate per 1,000 people remains at zero throughout the period, despite the fluctuations in population. This stability in the face of demographic changes is particularly noteworthy and suggests that the factors contributing to the city's safety have remained consistent over time.
The percentage of state crime for Bucklin also remains at 0% across all violent crime categories from 2010 to 2020. This indicates that the city has not contributed to the state's overall violent crime statistics during this period, further emphasizing its unique position in terms of public safety.
While there are no strong correlations between violent crime trends and other metrics such as population density, median rent, or race distribution due to the consistent zero crime rate, it's worth noting that the city experienced significant changes in these areas. For instance, the population density decreased from 2,112 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,503 in 2022, while median rent fluctuated, reaching a peak of $761 in 2021 before slightly decreasing to $748 in 2022.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the consistent zero-crime rate. However, based on the historical data, it's reasonable to predict that Bucklin will likely continue to maintain very low to zero violent crime rates in the near future, assuming no significant changes in local conditions or reporting practices.
In summary, Bucklin presents a unique case of sustained absence of reported violent crimes over a decade, despite experiencing significant population decline. This trend suggests a highly effective approach to community safety and crime prevention that has withstood demographic changes. The city's ability to maintain this level of safety, if continued, could serve as a model for other small communities seeking to minimize violent crime.
