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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Broadway Pantano East, a neighborhood in Tucson, Arizona, has experienced significant changes in its real estate market and demographic composition over the past decade. From 2013 to 2022, the area saw a notable decline in homeownership rates, coupled with a substantial increase in average home prices. The homeownership rate decreased from 42% in 2013 to 35% in 2022, representing a 7% drop. Concurrently, the average home price more than doubled, rising from $130,803 in 2013 to $297,203 in 2022, marking a 127% increase over nine years. This inverse relationship between homeownership rates and average home prices suggests that rising property values may have made homeownership less accessible for many residents.
Federal interest rates have played a crucial role in shaping homeownership trends in Broadway Pantano East. From 2013 to 2016, interest rates remained historically low, ranging from 0.11% to 0.40%, and homeownership rates stayed relatively stable at around 41-42%. However, as interest rates began to rise from 2017 onwards, reaching 1.68% in 2022, homeownership rates declined more sharply, falling to 35% by 2022. This trend aligns with the general principle that higher interest rates can make mortgages less affordable, potentially discouraging homeownership.
As homeownership declined, the percentage of renters in Broadway Pantano East increased from 57% in 2013 to 65% in 2022. This 8% rise in the renter population was accompanied by fluctuations in average rent prices. The average rent was $898 in 2013, decreased to $808 in 2015, and then rose to $944 in 2022. Despite these fluctuations, the overall trend shows a 5% increase in average rent from 2013 to 2022. The neighborhood's population decreased from 7,199 in 2013 to 6,658 in 2022, which may have influenced the rental market dynamics.
In 2023 and 2024, Broadway Pantano East experienced a slight stabilization in average home prices. The average home price in 2023 was $295,033, showing a minor decrease from 2022. However, in 2024, prices rebounded slightly to $302,092. This occurred amidst significantly higher federal interest rates, which stood at 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024, the highest levels seen in over a decade.
Predictive models suggest that average home prices in Broadway Pantano East may continue to rise moderately over the next five years, potentially reaching around $330,000 by 2029. Average rent prices are also expected to increase, possibly surpassing $1,100 per month within the same timeframe. These projections are based on current trends and historical data patterns.
In summary, Broadway Pantano East has undergone a significant shift from homeownership to renting over the past decade, driven by rising home prices and fluctuating interest rates. The neighborhood has seen substantial appreciation in property values, with average home prices more than doubling since 2013. As the rental population has grown, average rent prices have also increased, albeit at a slower rate. The recent stabilization in home prices and high interest rates may continue to shape the neighborhood's real estate landscape in the coming years, potentially maintaining the current balance between owners and renters.