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Breese, Illinois: A Decade of Declining Violent Crime Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Breese, located in Illinois, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2012 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both its violent crime rates and population. The total number of violent crimes decreased from 6 in 2012 to 0 in 2022, marking a 100% reduction. During this same period, the population grew from 5,278 in 2012 to 5,556 in 2022, an increase of 5.27%.
Regarding murder trends, Breese has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the observed period from 2012 to 2022. This statistic remains unchanged despite the population growth, resulting in a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people across all years. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consistently been 0%, indicating that Breese has not been a factor in Illinois' murder rates.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variation over time. In 2012, there were 2 reported rapes, which then decreased to 0 in 2014, 2016, and 2018. In 2019, there was 1 reported rape, before returning to 0 in 2022. When considering the population, the rape rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.38 in 2012 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics fluctuated, peaking at 0.11% in 2012 and dropping to 0% in several years, including 2022.
Robbery incidents in Breese have consistently been reported as 0 from 2012 to 2022. This trend has remained stable despite the population increase, resulting in a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the observed period. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics has also consistently been 0%, indicating that Breese has not been a factor in Illinois' robbery rates.
Aggravated assault cases have shown the most variation among violent crimes in the city. In 2012, there were 4 reported cases, which decreased to 3 in 2014, then increased to 5 in 2016. The numbers then dropped to 2 in 2018, rose slightly to 4 in 2019, and finally reached 0 in 2022. When adjusted for population, the aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.76 in 2012 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics fluctuated between 0.01% and 0.02% from 2012 to 2019, before dropping to 0% in 2022.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between violent crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 1,974 per square mile in 2012 to 2,078 in 2022, violent crime rates generally decreased. However, this correlation is not strong enough to suggest a causal relationship.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the consistent decrease in violent crimes over the past decade, it's projected that Breese will likely maintain its low violent crime rates. The model suggests a continued trend of 0 to 2 violent crimes per year, with the possibility of occasional fluctuations.
In summary, Breese has demonstrated a significant improvement in its violent crime statistics over the past decade. The most notable trend is the consistent decrease in overall violent crimes, particularly the reduction to zero incidents in 2022. This positive trend, combined with the city's growing population, suggests that Breese has become increasingly safe for its residents. The city's minimal contribution to state crime statistics further underscores its status as a low-crime area within Illinois.
