Robbery incidents in Biltmore Forest were extremely rare. From 2012 to 2022, only one robbery was reported in 2016. This translates to a robbery rate of approximately 0.12 per 1,000 people in 2016, based on that year's population of 8,577. For all other years, the robbery rate was 0 per 1,000 people. The percentage of state robberies attributable to Biltmore Forest remained at 0% throughout the period, indicating minimal impact on North Carolina's overall robbery statistics.

Aggravated assault showed some fluctuation over the years. The city reported no aggravated assaults from 2012 to 2015. In 2016, there was 1 incident (0.12 per 1,000 people), followed by no incidents in 2017-2019. In 2020, there was another single incident (0.11 per 1,000 people), and in 2021, the number increased to 3 (0.32 per 1,000 people). However, in 2022, it dropped back to 0. The percentage of state aggravated assaults attributable to Biltmore Forest remained very low, peaking at 0.01% in 2016 and 2021.

There appears to be a weak correlation between population density and violent crime incidents. As population density increased from 2,516 per square mile in 2012 to 3,269 per square mile in 2022, there was a slight uptick in violent crime incidents, particularly aggravated assaults. However, the correlation is not strong enough to suggest a causal relationship.

Median rent showed a steady increase from $1,236 in 2013 to $1,583 in 2022, but this does not appear to have a significant correlation with violent crime rates, which remained very low throughout this period.

The racial distribution in Biltmore Forest remained predominantly white throughout the studied period, with the white population consistently above 90%. Given the minimal fluctuations in both racial demographics and crime rates, no significant correlation can be established between these factors.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's reasonable to forecast that Biltmore Forest will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years (up to 2029). The city may continue to see occasional, isolated incidents of aggravated assault, potentially averaging 1-2 cases per year. However, given the historical data, it's unlikely to see a significant increase in murders, rapes, or robberies.

In summary, Biltmore Forest has maintained exceptionally low violent crime rates from 2012 to 2022, despite significant population growth. The most notable trend was in aggravated assaults, which showed some fluctuation but remained very low in absolute numbers. The city's contribution to North Carolina's overall violent crime statistics has been minimal, with most crime categories consistently at 0% of state totals. These trends suggest that Biltmore Forest has been and is likely to remain a relatively safe community with infrequent occurrences of violent crime.