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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Zip code 14612, located in Rochester, New York, covers an area of 17.67 square miles and has experienced significant changes in its housing market over the past decade. This suburban area has seen a slight decline in homeownership rates while average home prices and rent prices have generally increased. The relationship between homeownership rates and average home prices reveals an interesting trend. In 2013, the homeownership rate was 71% with an average home price of $133,412. By 2022, despite rising home values, the ownership rate declined to 67% when the average home price reached $222,854. This represents a 67% increase in average home prices over nine years, while homeownership decreased by 4 percentage points, suggesting that rising home prices may have made homeownership less attainable for some residents in the area.
Federal interest rates have played a significant role in homeownership trends. From 2013 to 2016, interest rates remained below 0.5%, coinciding with relatively stable homeownership rates around 70%. As interest rates began to rise in 2017, reaching 1.83% by 2018, homeownership rates dropped to 67%. This correlation indicates that higher interest rates may have contributed to the decline in homeownership by making mortgages more expensive.
The renter population in zip code 14612 has shown a corresponding increase as homeownership rates declined. In 2013, 29% of residents were renters, with an average rent of $927. By 2022, the renter percentage had increased to 33%, and the average rent had risen to $1,074, representing a 15.9% increase in average rent over nine years. This trend suggests that as homeownership became less accessible, more residents turned to renting, potentially driving up rental prices due to increased demand.
Looking at the most recent data, the average home price in 2023 was $243,261, and in 2024 it reached $254,869, indicating a continued upward trend in property values. Concurrently, federal interest rates have risen significantly, reaching 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024. These high interest rates may further impact homeownership rates in the area, potentially leading to increased demand for rentals.
Applying predictive models to forecast 5-year trends, we anticipate that average home prices in zip code 14612 will continue to rise, potentially reaching around $300,000 by 2029. Average rent prices are also expected to increase, possibly surpassing $1,300 per month within the same timeframe. These projections are based on the consistent upward trends observed in both metrics over the past decade.
In summary, zip code 14612 has experienced a gradual shift from homeownership to renting, likely driven by rising home prices and fluctuating interest rates. The inverse relationship between homeownership rates and property values, coupled with the steady increase in both home prices and rents, suggests a changing housing landscape in this Rochester suburb. As we move forward, it will be crucial to monitor these trends and their impact on the local community's housing affordability and accessibility.