Loading Content...
Alliance, Ohio: Violent Crime Trends Show Significant Improvement Over the Past Decade
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Alliance, located in Ohio, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade, set against a backdrop of slight population decline. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 1.45%, from 69 to 68 incidents. During this same period, the population decreased by 3.64%, from 27,169 to 26,180 residents.
Murder rates in the city have remained relatively low, with occasional spikes. The highest number of murders recorded was 2 in both 2011 and 2012, representing 0.07 murders per 1,000 people. Since 2018, there have been no reported murders, indicating a positive trend in this most serious category of violent crime. The city's contribution to state-wide murder statistics has fluctuated, peaking at 0.62% in 2012 and dropping to 0% in recent years, suggesting an improvement in public safety relative to the rest of Ohio.
Rape incidents have shown a general downward trend. In 2010, there were 21 reported rapes (0.77 per 1,000 people), which decreased to 3 in 2022 (0.11 per 1,000 people), marking an 85.71% reduction. The city's percentage of state-wide rape cases has also decreased significantly, from 0.79% in 2010 to 0.08% in 2022, indicating a substantial improvement in this area of violent crime relative to the state average.
Robbery rates have fluctuated but show an overall decreasing trend. The highest number of robberies was 31 in 2012 (1.16 per 1,000 people), which decreased to just 1 in 2022 (0.04 per 1,000 people), a 96.77% reduction. The city's contribution to state-wide robbery statistics has also decreased from 0.1% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2022, suggesting a significant improvement in this category of crime.
Aggravated assault has shown the most variability among violent crimes. The number of incidents peaked at 101 in 2015 (3.79 per 1,000 people) but decreased to 64 in 2022 (2.44 per 1,000 people). Despite this overall decrease, the city's contribution to state-wide aggravated assault cases has increased from 0.28% in 2010 to 0.37% in 2022, indicating that while local numbers have improved, the city's relative position within the state for this crime has worsened slightly.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between the racial composition of the city and violent crime rates. As the white population percentage increased slightly from 85% in 2013 to 87% in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall violent crime. The black population decreased from 9% to 8% during the same period, which also correlates with the crime reduction. However, it's important to note that correlation does not imply causation, and many other factors likely contribute to crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Alliance may see a further reduction in violent crimes. The model suggests that rape and robbery incidents could potentially decrease to near-zero levels, while aggravated assaults might stabilize around 50-60 cases per year. However, these predictions assume current trends continue and do not account for potential socioeconomic changes or new crime prevention initiatives.
In summary, Alliance has made significant strides in reducing violent crime over the past decade, particularly in the categories of rape and robbery. While aggravated assault remains a concern, the overall trend is positive. The city's contribution to state-wide crime statistics has generally decreased, indicating improved safety relative to Ohio as a whole. These trends, if maintained, suggest a promising outlook for public safety in Alliance, though continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention efforts will be crucial to sustain and further improve these positive developments.
