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Abilene, Kansas: Stable Violent Crime Trends in a Growing Historic City
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Abilene, Kansas, a city with a rich historical background, has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in Abilene varied, starting at 14 in 2010 and ending at 14 in 2022, with fluctuations in between. During this same period, the population grew from 8,333 in 2010 to 8,971 in 2022, representing a 7.65% increase.
Regarding murder trends, Abilene has maintained a consistently low rate, with zero reported cases throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and the city has consistently contributed 0% to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have fluctuated over the years. In 2010, there were 2 reported cases, which increased to a peak of 5 cases in 2014 and 2018. By 2022, the number stood at 4 cases. The rape rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.24 in 2010 to 0.45 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics has varied, peaking at 0.63% in 2014 and standing at 0.41% in 2022. This suggests that while the absolute numbers remain relatively low, the city has seen an increase in its share of state rape cases over time.
Robbery trends in Abilene have been inconsistent but generally low. The highest number of robberies reported was 3 in 2016, while many years, including 2022, saw zero reported cases. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated accordingly, reaching a maximum of 0.35 per 1,000 in 2016 and dropping to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has been minimal, peaking at 0.24% in 2016 and dropping to 0% in recent years.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases ranged from a low of 2 in 2016 to a high of 10 in 2013 and 2022. The rate per 1,000 people for aggravated assault was 1.20 in 2010, dropped to 0.23 in 2016, and rose again to 1.11 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.28% in 2014 and standing at 0.13% in 2022.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,749 per square mile in 2010 to 1,883 in 2022, there were corresponding fluctuations in violent crime rates. Additionally, the racial composition of the city has remained relatively stable, with the white population consistently accounting for over 90% of residents, which doesn't seem to correlate strongly with crime rate changes.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a slight increase in overall violent crimes if current trends continue. The model suggests that by 2029, Abilene may see around 16-18 violent crimes annually, with aggravated assaults likely remaining the most common type of violent crime.
In summary, Abilene has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with some fluctuations. The absence of murders, low robbery rates, and the predominance of aggravated assaults characterize the city's violent crime profile. While rape incidents have shown some increase, the overall violent crime rate remains low compared to many other cities. The stability in racial composition and the moderate correlation with population density suggest that demographic factors play a limited role in the city's crime trends. As Abilene continues to grow, maintaining vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies will be crucial in preserving its relatively safe environment.
